1/A Kentucky bourbon and a Japanese blend, both sitting at the bottom of their own price range this week. Angels Envy is $96. Nikka From The Barrel, $77. Plain shelf tickets at Dan Murphy's, neither one a members' deal.
2/Put the two in one basket and the pair is $173. Across the eleven Thursdays I've tracked them together, that is the lowest the combination has sat; it usually runs nearer $181. Both bottles are near their own floor at the same time, which is what pulled the basket down.
3/A caveat on calling it a pair. The profile model reads them only loosely alike, a cosine of 0.58, and the value model rates them nowhere near each other. So this is two keen tickets that happen to coincide, not two versions of one whisky.
4/Sizes are not matched either. The Angels Envy is a 750, the Nikka a 500. The $173 is a straight sum of the two live tickets, not a discount anyone is putting on the shelf. Read each bottle on its own before the basket maths.
| slot | 08-13 | 08-20 | 08-27 | 09-03 | 09-10 | 09-17 | 09-24 | 10-01 | 10-08 | 10-15 | 10-22 | 10-29 | 11-05 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| list / member | 99.99 m 96.00 observed | 99.99 m 96.00 observed | 99.99 m 96.00 observed | 99.99 m 95.00 observed | 99.99 observed | 104.99 observed | 104.99 observed | 104.99 observed | 95.90 observed | 95.90 observed | 95.90 observed | 95.90 observed | 97.99 observed |
| basis | mean | median | sd | min | max | range | cv | se mean | latest | own-range pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| list | 99.73 | 99.99 | 3.48 | 95.90 | 104.99 | 9.09 | 3.5% | 0.96 | 97.99 | 38 |
| member | 98.43 | 96.00 | 3.95 | 95.00 | 104.99 | 9.99 | 4.0% | 1.09 | 97.99 | 69 |
| moments | m1 mean | m2 var | m3 skew | m4 ex-kurt | 95% band of the mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| list | 99.73 | 12.09 | 0.48 | -0.94 | 97.8 – 101.6 |
| # | candidate | price | CEARP | price − CEARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Traveller Whiskey 700mL | $81.99 | $71.32 | +10.67 |
| 2 | Maker's Mark 46 Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whisky 700mL | $75.00 | $70.73 | +4.27 |
| 3 | Woodford Reserve Double Oaked Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whiskey 700mL | $111.99 | $70.72 | +41.27 |
| 4 | Jim Beam Devil's Cut Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whiskey 700mL | $62.00 | $70.63 | -8.63 |
| 5 | Four Roses Bourbon Whiskey 700mL | $60.00 | $68.76 | -8.76 |
| 6 | Maker's Mark Bourbon Whisky 1L | $56.00 | $67.41 | -11.41 |
| 7 | Hogs 3 Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whiskey 700mL | $59.99 | $66.02 | -6.03 |
| 8 | Old Virginia 6 Year Old Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whiskey 700mL | $52.00 | $65.37 | -13.37 |
| 9 | Maker's Mark Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whisky 700mL | $56.95 | $64.97 | -8.02 |
| 10 | Starward Nova Single Malt Australian Whisky 700mL | $93.99 | $64.71 | +29.28 |