Scotch at Dan Murphy's, priced every Thursday. Lagavulin 16 and the ten bottles that define it.
Dan Murphy's · week of 2026-11-05

From the Blends guy · Thread · The whole shelf · 2026-10-01

The blend shelf splits: $73 Ballantine's, $730 Hibiki

1/Ballantine's is back on its number, anchoring the cheap end of the blend shelf. Sixty-two bottles priced live at Dan Murphy's this Thursday — the whole aisle, not a slice. Since last look, 31 of 62 have shifted price or zone. The far end? Two Hibikis and a Chivas 25.

2/How I read it: each price against the fair value its own ten-seat jury sets for that bottle, as a percent. Not one blend on this shelf dips under its own mean. So the near end is "least over", the closest to fair, never a discount.

3/The least-over end, all live. Ballantine's Finest 1L at $73 sits dead on its jury, +0.0%. Johnnie Walker Red 1.125L at $79, +0.22%. Red Label 1L at $65, +0.23%. Cutty Sark at $59 and Dimple 12 at $58 round it out, both under half a percent. Value blends, priced like it.

4/The shelf's character, pooled off its own reviews across the category: vanilla, toffee, honey, soft grain, a wisp of smoke, a bite of apple. That is the blend-aisle signature, the scotch-and-soda end of the whisky world. It describes the shelf, not any one bottle in it.

5/The dear end, and it is a different animal. McConnell's Belfast Irish at $83 carries the widest gap, +45.32% over its own mean, a real live price. Then the premium Japanese and Scotch names: Chivas Regal 25 at $646 (+22.14%) and Midleton Very Rare at $434 (+22.06%).

6/So the tidy read: one shelf, two halves. The value floor priced at fair, the premium ceiling asking a fifth to a half more than its jury. For an honest everyday pour, the $73 Ballantine's or the $65 Johnnie Walker Red? What does your local charge?

Sources

  • Coverage: 62 of 62 members priced live in the 2026-10-01 harvest (100%) — grounding.coverage (n_observed/n_members).
  • Price band $50.99–$730.00, median $74.49; scope-average CE 360° mean ≈ $101.90 — grounding.price_band, grounding.ce_360_mean_avg.
  • Shelf character words (category-level, parent-relative, pooled over 54 reviews): vanilla, toffee, honey, grain, smoke, apple — grounding.words (noise tokens "just", "whisky", "scotch", "blended" dropped). No per-bottle tasting notes are asserted; the words describe the shelf, not any one bottle.
  • Cool-down (decision 15): Blended (whisky_style): led 2026-09-10-whole-shelf-blended.md 21 day(s) earlier — CHANGED, may lead again; the piece must say what changed: 31 of 62 bottles changed price or 360° zone (50%; the bar is 10%) (2026-09-10.r to 2026-10-01.1)
End Item Price Gap % Priced
Hot 1 Ballantine's Finest Blended Scotch Whisky 1L $73 +0.0% observed 2026-10-01
Hot 2 Johnnie Walker Red Label Blended Scotch Whisky 1.125L $79 +0.22% observed 2026-10-01
Hot 3 Johnnie Walker Red Label Blended Scotch Whisky 1L $65 +0.23% observed 2026-10-01
(hot) Cutty Sark Original Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL $59 +0.32% observed 2026-10-01
(hot) Dimple 12 Year Old Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL $58 +0.36% observed 2026-10-01
Cold 1 McConnell's Belfast Blended Irish Whisky 700mL $83 +45.32% observed 2026-10-01
Cold 2 Chivas Regal 25 Year Old Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL $646 +22.14% observed 2026-10-01
Cold 3 Midleton Very Rare Irish Whiskey 700mL $434 +22.06% observed 2026-10-01
(cold) Hibiki Blossom Harmony 700mL $691 +19.35% observed 2026-10-01
(cold) Hibiki Japanese Harmony 2021 Limited Edition Blended Whisky 700mL $730 +18.78% observed 2026-10-01

Omissions

None recorded.

Notes for reviewer

  • Both Ballantine's and the two Hibiki blends also appear in this cycle's Multi-Regional Blend region shelf. This piece is written on the whisky_style scope on its own terms (value-end everyday blends vs the premium Hibiki/Chivas 25 end); prose was kept distinct from the sibling.
  • Scope spans multiple countries (Scotch, Irish, Japanese blends), so the two Irish names (McConnell's, Midleton) in the cold cut are genuine members, not off-origin sweep-ins.
  • "Hot"/"cold" used only as value-signal labels (least/most over each bottle's own CE 360° jury), never velocity or trend. No bottle sits below its own mean; "hot" is explicitly stated as not a discount.

Format note

Whole Shelf, scope Blended (whisky_style), vintage 2026-10-01.1, pack whisky_style-blended-aggregate.json. Gap basis PERCENTAGE; ce_gap_pct=(price−CE 360° mean)/price×100, each bottle's premium over its own CE 360° consensus; 'hot'=smallest premium (least over fair value), 'cold'=largest. No bottle sits below its own mean, so 'hot' is not a bargain. 'Hot'/'cold' are value labels only, never velocity or trend. Coverage 62 of 62 priced live in the 2026-10-01 harvest (100%). Sources holds the stored top/bottom notable-mover cut, not the full ranked shelf.

Frontmatter as merged
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source file: drafts/2026-10-01-whole-shelf-blended.md