From the Glenmorangie guy · Thread · Price raid · 2026-09-17

Glenmorangie 12 jumps to $85, above its $71 ruler

1/A heads-up on Glenmorangie Original 12. It's $85 at Dan Murphy's today. Last Thursday the same bottle sat at $73.95, no offer attached then or now.

2/At $85 it's above its own peer-value read. The engine's CE 360° jury of ten like-for-like malts, judged on character rather than the price tag, puts fair value around $71, with a ceiling near $73. Eighty-five clears both.

3/It's the gentle Highland introduction it's always been. Light, floral, orchard-fruit, no smoke. Lovely stuff, unchanged. The ask is the thing that's shifted.

4/Not a raid to chase, then — more a note that the ruler says $71 and the shelf says $85. Still finding it in the low seventies where you shop? Drop the price below.

Sources

generate_cycle.py replay payload, artefact 2026-09-17-replay/price-raid/glenmorangie-original-12-year-old-28f6d0; harvest pair base 2026-09-10, latest 2026-09-17.
This week's ticket: $85 (claim value 85.0; grounding.current_price 85.0), no member offer. Last week: $73.95 (grounding.baseline_price 73.95), no member offer. Delta +$11.05, +14.9% (flag OK, corrected false).
CE 360° fair value: mean $71.20, P50 $71.14, band [$70.11, $73.04]; gap over consensus 3.7% = 29th percentile (2026-09-17.r dossier glenmorangie-original-12-year-old-neighbourhood.md, reference card). $71 and $73 are the rounded mean and band ceiling.
Character: factor profile Orchard & Cereal 0.10 (light, soft, floral, orchard) + Mizunara & Incense 0.02 (same dossier).

Omissions

No peer prices are quoted; the standing rests on the bottle's own CE 360° jury, not a live cross-read of the cohort.
No percentage move and no trend language: the post states this week's ticket against last week's and lets the jury figure carry the standing.

Notes for reviewer

Clears the bar as a rise with standing: $85 is over the CE 360° mean ($71.20) and its ceiling ($73.04).
Replay draft on rehearsal vintage 2026-09-17.r; may_publish: false and never flips in replay.

Format note

Price raid, rise direction. Move measured on the harvest pair 2026-09-10 → 2026-09-17: $73.95 last week, $85 this week, no member offer either week (like-for-like shelf comparison). Standing read against the bottle's own CE 360° fair value (mean $71.20, band ceiling $73.04, 2026-09-17.r dossier). flag OK, corrected false, in_ce_cohort true.

Frontmatter as merged

{
 "date": "2026-09-17T00:00:00.000Z",
 "title": "Glenmorangie 12 jumps to $85, above its $71 ruler",
 "angle": "price-raid",
 "position": "n/a",
 "status": "draft",
 "derives_from": "none — standalone; the automated replay cycle grounds this on the week's harvest pair and the vintage's CE 360° bands, no spoke article backs it",
 "grounded_on": "harvest pair 2026-09-10 → 2026-09-17 (the move); 2026-09-17.r dossier (CE 360° fair value)",
 "may_publish": false,
 "replay": true,
 "review_priority": "standard",
 "artefact_id": "2026-09-17-replay/price-raid/glenmorangie-original-12-year-old-28f6d0",
 "format_note": "Price raid, rise direction. Move measured on the harvest pair 2026-09-10 → 2026-09-17: $73.95 last week, $85 this week, no member offer either week (like-for-like shelf comparison). Standing read against the bottle's own CE 360° fair value (mean $71.20, band ceiling $73.04, 2026-09-17.r dossier). flag OK, corrected false, in_ce_cohort true.",
 "claims": [
  {
   "item": "Glenmorangie Original 12 Year Old",
   "kind": "price",
   "value": 85
  }
 ],
 "subjects": [
  "Glenmorangie Original 12 Year Old"
 ],
 "verified_at": "2026-09-27T07:31:42.000Z",
 "verified_by": "etl/price_verify.py (harvest sidecar danmurphys_whisky_products_2026-09-17.normalised.csv, as of 2026-09-17)",
 "verified_prices": {
  "6006024": 84.95
 },
 "verification_note": "1 price claim(s) verified live",
 "quality_gate": "pass",
 "gated_at": "2026-09-27T07:31:42.000Z",
 "site_publish": true
}

premium over CE 360° · shared scale 0% to +70% across the eleven

Glenmorangie Original 12 Year Old

$92.99list 11-05

CE 360° $69.42 · 6.2% over · #6 of 38 in Highlands

1 piece · observed

source file: drafts/2026-09-17-price-raid-glenmorangie-12.md